LINEBREAK

LIVE — 2026 MLB SEASON

MLB Prop

Intelligence.

Built different.

Statcast data. Sharp model. Every pick comes with a projection, edge %, and confidence tier — not a gut call.

CREATE ACCOUNT VIEW PRICING

Free tier available. Pro starts at $30/mo with 7-day trial.

HOW IT WORKS

INGEST

Statcast pitch data, Vegas lines, lineup confirmations, weather, and umpire K tendencies — pulled every morning before games.

EDGE

The Linebreak model projects each prop and computes edge against the current book line. Only plays with meaningful edge surface.

PICK

You get the play with edge %, projected value, confidence tier, and the key factors behind the model's conviction.

SAMPLE PICK

Spencer Strider

NYY @ ATL · 7:05 PM ET

OVER7.5K

Pitcher Strikeouts

PROJECTION

9.2 K

EDGE

+12.3%

BEST ODDS

-115

DraftKings

HIGH CONFIDENCE

›Elite SwStr% (15.2%) — top 3% in MLB this season

›NYY lineup posts 31% K rate vs RHP over last 10 games

›Home park + 5 days rest + peak velocity trend (+0.4 mph)

›Umpire: +2.1 K/game above league avg (18 game sample)

‹Pitch count constraint — 92 pitch avg over last 5 starts

Sample pick for illustration. Real picks posted daily before first pitch.

METHODOLOGY

LAST 50

32-18

WIN RATE

64.0%

P&L

+11.56u

WIN RATE

Straight hit/miss on every posted pick. No cherry-picking, no retroactive removal. Every call counts from the moment it goes out.

P&L

Tracked at 1 unit flat per pick. No parlays, no teasers. The simplest honest measure of whether picks make money.

CLV

Closing line value — did our number beat what the market closed at? The best long-term indicator of real edge, not just variance.

FAQ

What is Linebreak?

Linebreak is an MLB prop intelligence service. We use Statcast data, Vegas line movement, and a projection model to find edges in player prop markets — strikeouts, hits+runs+RBI, total bases, and more.

How are picks generated?

Every morning, the system ingests pitcher profiles, lineup data, weather, and current odds. The model projects each prop and flags plays where it shows 5%+ edge over the book line. High confidence picks get posted — everything else gets filtered.

What props do you cover?

Pitcher strikeouts, hits+runs+RBI, total bases, pitcher walks, earned runs, and batter strikeouts. We focus on markets with the most Statcast signal and the most consistent edges.

Is this gambling advice?

No. Linebreak is for informational and entertainment purposes only. We don't take bets, accept money, or guarantee outcomes. Sports betting involves real financial risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose.

How do I get started?

Create a free account to see daily slate previews and delayed picks. Upgrade to Pro ($30/mo) for real-time picks, edge breakdowns, matchup grades, and Telegram alerts. 7-day free trial included.

LIVE — 2026 MLB SEASON

Don't guess.

Know your edge.

GET STARTED FREE